Trajectories and Targets
September 5th 2008 03:18
The Garnaut Trajectories and Targets review is out.
Here are two links
THE FULL MONTY (its actually worth a read)
THE SUMMARY
For all the skeptics out there you should read this report. This is an independent research document by a guy who is a pure economist, of all the things i have read I give this credibility because he has backsolved the problem. It is relevant Globally as well as for Australian.
He is recommending per capita trajectories which i think is an excellent way to negotiate an outcome in Copenhagen next year.
He recommends Australian targets to depend on Global negotiation but broadly we would need to reduce our per capita emissions by 30% per annum (10% of our emissions overall) for a global goal of reducing carbon to 550ppm I honestly don't know how the 30% per capita 10% overall figures reconcile I need to do a bit more work to understand the logic there. his long term target is an 80% reduction by 2050 (Govt is 60%) which is a 90% reduction per capita. For an outcome of 450ppm we would need to reduce 25% by 2020 (40% per capita), 90% by 2050 (95% per capita) Yikes we better get our acts together FAST.
Remember whether you believe in Climate Change or not it makes sense to be good environmental citizens anyhow, and you can do lots of easy little things to improve your energy efficiency, all t requires is a little thought and the will.
Cheers
Louie
Here are two links
THE FULL MONTY (its actually worth a read)
THE SUMMARY
For all the skeptics out there you should read this report. This is an independent research document by a guy who is a pure economist, of all the things i have read I give this credibility because he has backsolved the problem. It is relevant Globally as well as for Australian.
He is recommending per capita trajectories which i think is an excellent way to negotiate an outcome in Copenhagen next year.
He recommends Australian targets to depend on Global negotiation but broadly we would need to reduce our per capita emissions by 30% per annum (10% of our emissions overall) for a global goal of reducing carbon to 550ppm I honestly don't know how the 30% per capita 10% overall figures reconcile I need to do a bit more work to understand the logic there. his long term target is an 80% reduction by 2050 (Govt is 60%) which is a 90% reduction per capita. For an outcome of 450ppm we would need to reduce 25% by 2020 (40% per capita), 90% by 2050 (95% per capita) Yikes we better get our acts together FAST.
Remember whether you believe in Climate Change or not it makes sense to be good environmental citizens anyhow, and you can do lots of easy little things to improve your energy efficiency, all t requires is a little thought and the will.
Cheers
Louie
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